Tritium Plant FMEA
Failure modes of breeding, extraction, and accountancy for the ~4 kg/yr tritium class and ~1.97 kg/yr helium-3 outputs.
The fuel cycle is a plant
The breeder (Hyperion) is valued for its products: a ~4 kg/yr tritium class output, ~1.97 kg/yr helium-3, and 14 MeV neutrons. That makes the breeding blanket, tritium extraction, and isotope accountancy a plant in their own right, with their own failure modes. The tritium breeding ratio is a design lever across 1.1/1.5/1.8, so the fuel-cycle FMEA is sensitive to which point is chosen.
Accountancy is safety-critical
Tritium is regulated as byproduct material, so mass-balance accountancy is both an operational and a compliance function. An undetected accountancy drift is high-detection-difficulty because it is silent - it does not trip anything - which raises its RPN even at moderate severity. Sensor fusion across neutron yield, extraction flow, and inventory closes the balance.
def mass_balance(bred, extracted, inventory_delta, tol):
# bred - extracted should equal change in held inventory within tolerance
residual = bred - extracted - inventory_delta
return abs(residual) <= tol, residual # flag if out of balance
TBR lever and resiliency
Choosing a higher TBR (toward 1.8) buys margin against breeding-chain faults but stresses the blanket; a lower TBR (1.1) is leaner but less fault-tolerant. Resiliency treats the lever as an input to the availability model, not a fixed number. Slow-degradation modes feed predictive maintenance. Pre-FOAK the scores derive from blanket simulation, not an operating fuel cycle.