The Falsifiable Seven

Seven pre-registered predictions (P1–P7) that Kronos commits to test at the gates and publish regardless of outcome — the core of its 'shows its work' discipline.

What

Seven pre-registered, falsifiable predictions

Binding on

The gate campaign

Published

Regardless of outcome

Examples

NT confinement (P1), hot-ion (P2), 25 T conductor (P3)

The Falsifiable Seven are the pre-registered predictions — P1 through P7 — that Kronos commits to before running the experiments that test them, and pledges to publish whatever the result. They convert the design's assumptions into checkable claims, adjudicated at the gates:

• P1 — NT-ST confinement: H_ST ≥ 1.3 and H98 ≥ 1.3, ELM-free, at κ = 2.5, δ = −0.3.
• P2 — hot-ion sustainment: T_i/T_e ≥ 1.5.
• P3 — peak-field conductor ≥ 25 T; 24.6 T envelope.
• P4 — DIR fuel loop > 95% single-pass.
• P5 — wall reflectivity R_wall ≥ 0.90.
• P6 — fast-ion channeling ≥ 15% credit.
• P7 — aligned high-β_p sustainment: β_p ≥ 2.2 with f_BS ≥ 0.78.

Publishing predictions in advance — and the results whether they confirm or refute — is what "the fusion company that shows its work" means in practice.