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Machine learning & surrogates

Surrogates, reinforcement learning, training, evaluation, uncertainty and model governance behind the control stack. 675 pages

A Gaussian-Process Posterior Update

Condition a Gaussian process on three observations and compute the predictive mean and variance at a new input by hand.

A Naive Bayes Classifier by Hand

Classify with Bayes' rule under a strong independence assumption, worked on a small spam-style example.

Activation Function

The nonlinear function applied at each neuron that lets networks represent nonlinear relationships.

Activation Functions

Activation functions inject the nonlinearity that gives deep networks their expressive power, and their shape controls how gradients flow.

Active Learning

Active learning lets a model choose which unlabeled examples to have labeled, spending scarce annotation where it helps most.

Active Learning and Continual Retraining

Kronos targets its expensive offline solves where the surrogates are weakest, and retrains them as the design evolves and, later, as the plant reveals new data.

Active Learning and Experiment Design

Active learning turns model uncertainty into experiment proposals, so scarce machine time is spent where new data most improves the models that run the machines.

Active Learning for Costly Experiments

Active learning chooses which expensive simulations or discharges to run next, extracting the most information per costly evaluation.

Active Learning for Expensive Simulations

Spending a limited simulation budget on the points that most improve a model or answer a question.

Active Learning for Labeling

Active learning chooses which unlabeled examples to annotate next so a model reaches target accuracy with far fewer labels.

Active Learning for Surrogates

Active learning chooses where to run an expensive simulation next, so a surrogate improves fastest with the fewest costly evaluations.

Active Learning in Experiment Loops

Letting a model choose its own next training example so it learns the most from the fewest expensive runs.

Actor-Critic Methods

Actor-critic methods pair a policy that acts with a value estimator that critiques, combining low-variance updates with direct policy optimization.

Adadelta

Adadelta extends Adagrad with a decaying gradient average and a matching decaying average of updates, removing the need to choose a global learning rate.

AdaGrad

Adapt a per-parameter learning rate by dividing by the accumulated history of squared gradients, favoring rarely updated directions.

Adagrad

Adagrad gives each parameter its own learning rate, shrinking it in proportion to the accumulated size of that parameter's past gradients.

Adam

Combine momentum and per-parameter adaptive scaling with bias correction: the default optimizer for training deep neural networks.

AdamW

Adam with decoupled weight decay: apply regularization directly to the parameters instead of folding it into the adaptive gradient.

AdamW Optimizer

AdamW fixes how Adam applies weight decay, decoupling it from the adaptive gradient scaling to make regularization behave as intended.

Adaptive Sampling

Adaptive sampling adds training points sequentially where a surrogate is weakest, balancing exploration of unseen regions against refinement of complex ones.

Adaptive Sampling and Active Learning

Active learning chooses the next expensive evaluation where it most improves the surrogate, building accurate models from few runs.

Additive Decomposition Forecasting

Additive forecasters model a series as an interpretable sum of trend, seasonal, and holiday components with uncertainty.

Adversarial-Input Defense for Control Models

Learned components are hardened against crafted inputs, and physics-based sanity bounds ensure a fooled model still cannot request an unsafe action.

Agentic Tool-Use With Bounded Actions

Every copilot action is a typed, bounded tool call — read, simulate, or propose — with no tool that writes directly to the plant.

AI-Ready Structured Features

The fabric's output is a pristine, structured, quality-tagged feature set — the clean interface every L3 model and copilot is built on.

Aleatoric versus Epistemic Uncertainty

Aleatoric uncertainty is inherent randomness you cannot reduce; epistemic uncertainty is ignorance you can reduce with more data or better models.

Alternating Least Squares

ALS fits matrix-factorization models by alternately solving closed-form least-squares problems for each factor.

Anomaly Detection

Anomaly detection flags rare, unexpected observations, usually with few or no labeled examples of the anomalies.

Anomaly Detection on the OT Network and Process

Continuous monitoring learns the plant's normal network and process behavior so deviations - a new flow, an odd command pattern - are flagged for response.

Approval Policy & Quorum

High-authority actions require multiple qualified approvers; policy defines who counts, how many, and what happens on timeout.

Architecture Glossary

Concise definitions of the terms used across the AI-native architecture — layers, colors, lines, mechanisms, and machine physics.

ARIMA Models

ARIMA forecasts a series by combining autoregression, differencing for trend, and a moving average of past errors.

Attention and Notification Design

Using visual, auditory, and spatial cues in a disciplined budget so the machine can grab an operator's attention exactly when — and only when — it should.

Augmented Neural ODEs

Augmenting a neural ODE with extra state dimensions removes a fundamental expressiveness limit caused by trajectories that cannot cross.

Autoencoder

A neural network trained to reconstruct its input through a compressed bottleneck, learning efficient representations.

Autoencoders

Autoencoders learn compact representations by training a network to reconstruct its own input through a narrow bottleneck.

Automated Machine Learning

AutoML automates the pipeline of feature processing, model selection, and tuning to build models with less manual effort.

Autoregressive Co-Kriging

Autoregressive co-kriging couples Gaussian processes across fidelity levels so a few accurate runs correct many cheap ones.

Autoregressive Language Modeling

Autoregressive models factor the probability of a sequence into a product of conditional next-token probabilities, the foundation of generative text models.

Availability Modeling (Monte Carlo)

Simulating component failures and repairs to produce the honest 0.86-0.995 availability envelope against the 0.99982 Tier III target.

Backpropagation

The algorithm that computes a neural network's loss gradients efficiently by applying the chain rule backward through layers.

Backpropagation Through a Tiny MLP

Compute the forward pass and every gradient of a two-layer network on one example, entirely by hand.

Backpropagation Through a Two-Layer Network

Derive and code the gradients of a small neural network by applying the chain rule backward from the loss.

Backpropagation Through Time

BPTT trains recurrent networks by unrolling the loop over time and applying the chain rule across every step.

Backup and Disaster Recovery

Copies of data and a plan to restore service are the last line of defense against loss from failure, disaster, or ransomware.

Bagging

Bagging trains models on bootstrap resamples and averages them, cutting variance without raising bias.

Bandit Optimization

Bandit optimization chooses actions to minimize loss when only the chosen action's outcome is observed, forcing a trade-off between exploration and exploitation.

Batch Normalization

Batch normalization standardizes layer activations across a mini-batch, stabilizing and accelerating the training of deep networks.

Batch Retraining Pipeline

The scheduled L0 loop that re-grounds every twin surrogate against fresh pulse histories so the real-time shadow does not drift.

Baum-Welch Algorithm

Baum-Welch learns HMM transition and emission parameters from unlabeled sequences by expectation-maximization.

Bayesian Experimental Design

Choosing which experiment or simulation to run next so that its result is expected to reduce uncertainty the most.

Bayesian Filtering Overview

Bayesian filtering is the common framework behind Kalman, ensemble, and particle methods: recursively updating a belief with each observation.

Bayesian Inference

Bayesian inference treats unknown parameters as random and updates a prior into a posterior using observed data.

Bayesian Inference Foundations

Bayes' rule is how the stack turns diagnostics and priors into calibrated posteriors, the basis of every uncertainty estimate the twin reports.

Bayesian Model Calibration

Bayesian calibration infers uncertain model parameters from data, yielding posterior distributions rather than single best-fit values.

Bayesian Neural Networks

Bayesian neural networks treat weights as distributions rather than fixed values, yielding predictions with principled uncertainty.

Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design

Plan the fewest, most-informative pulses to validate — accelerate commissioning.

BERT and Masked Language Modeling

BERT pretrains a bidirectional transformer encoder by predicting masked words, producing representations that read context from both directions.

BERT and Masked Language Modeling

BERT is a bidirectional transformer encoder pretrained by predicting randomly masked tokens, producing context-rich representations for classification and extraction tasks.

Bias-Variance Trade-off

The tension between a model too simple to fit the pattern and one so flexible it fits the noise.

Boosting

Boosting turns weak learners into a strong one by training them in sequence, each focusing on the previous errors.

Bootstrap Current Models

Bootstrap-current models predict the self-generated plasma current that arises from the pressure gradient, a key term in current-profile and scenario codes.

Bremsstrahlung Radiation

The braking radiation emitted when electrons are deflected by ions, an unavoidable energy loss from any plasma.

Calibration and Parameter Estimation

Calibration tunes a model's fixed parameters so its predictions match data, turning a generic model into a twin of one specific unit.

Calibration of Predictive Uncertainty

A model is calibrated when its stated probabilities match observed frequencies; miscalibration makes uncertainty estimates untrustworthy.

Calibration of Probabilistic Models

Making predicted probabilities and uncertainties mean what they say, so decisions can rely on them.

Calibration of Probabilistic Predictions

A well-calibrated model's stated probabilities match observed frequencies, so a ninety percent interval really contains the truth ninety percent of the time.

Capsule Networks

Capsule networks represent entities as vectors whose length encodes presence and whose orientation encodes properties, aiming to preserve part-whole spatial relationships.

Causal Models (do-Calculus)

Predict interventions correctly, not just correlations.

Choosing a Surrogate Model

The right surrogate depends on dimensionality, data budget, smoothness, output type, and whether you need calibrated uncertainty.

Chunking and Embedding Strategy

How documents are split and embedded so retrieval returns coherent, citable units without fragmenting equations, tables, or procedure steps.

CI/CD for Model Pipelines

Model changes flow through automated pipelines that build, test, validate, and stage artifacts — the same rigor as software delivery, adapted to models and machines.

Classical Simulability and Dequantization

Some quantum machine learning methods can be matched by classical algorithms, so a proposed advantage only holds if no efficient classical method exists.

Classification

Classification predicts a discrete label for each input, from spam-or-not to many mutually exclusive categories.

CLIP and Contrastive Multimodal Learning

CLIP trains an image encoder and a text encoder together so that matching image-caption pairs land nearby in a shared embedding space.

Clustering

Clustering groups unlabeled points by similarity; the method and distance you pick define what a cluster even means.

Clustering Plasma Regimes

Grouping discharges or time slices into regimes without labels, to organize data and reveal structure.

CMA-ES

The covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy samples candidates from a Gaussian and reshapes that Gaussian toward better regions, needing no gradients.

Co-Kriging

Co-kriging fuses a primary variable with correlated secondary data or a lower-fidelity model to sharpen predictions and their uncertainty.

Collocation Sampling and Adaptive Refinement

Where a PINN enforces its physics residual determines its accuracy; Kronos samples collocation points adaptively around steep gradients like the plasma edge.

Comparing the Breeder and Burner in the Model

Viewing Hyperion and the burner side by side shows how differently two fusion machines can be built for different jobs.

Component Measurements and Design Parameters

Every component carries measurements and design parameters drawn from the frozen canon, readable directly in the model.

Compute Scheduling and Orchestration

How L0 packs Monte Carlo, coupled solves, and GPU training onto a shared pool without starving the reproducible core.

Computing for Predictive Maintenance

Using sensor data and models to forecast when a component will need service, so maintenance is scheduled by condition rather than by calendar.

Computing for Remote Maintenance

Activated components must be maintained without direct human access, so remote handling relies on simulation, planning, and precise models.

Computing Sobol Sensitivity Indices

Decompose the variance of a model output among its inputs to rank which parameters actually drive uncertainty.

Concept Drift Detection

Concept-drift monitors detect when the relationship a model learned between inputs and outputs stops holding, even if the inputs themselves look familiar.

Condition Number in Optimization

The condition number, the ratio of largest to smallest curvature, predicts how slowly gradient methods converge and why preconditioning helps.

Conditional Random Fields

CRFs are discriminative models for structured prediction that score whole label sequences given the full input.

Confidence and Provenance Display

For any estimate an operator can see how sure the model is, which model produced it, on what data, and which live diagnostics currently constrain it.

Conformal Prediction

Distribution-free, finite-sample coverage guarantees on every model prediction.

Conformal Prediction

Conformal prediction wraps any model in prediction intervals with a guaranteed coverage rate, without assuming a data distribution.

Confusion Matrix

A table of predicted versus actual classes that breaks down a classifier's correct and incorrect calls.

Conjugate Gradient on a Small SPD System

Solve a symmetric positive-definite linear system with conjugate gradient and watch it converge in at most n steps.

Conjugate Priors

A conjugate prior keeps the posterior in the same family as the prior, making Bayesian updates a closed-form calculation.

Conservation-Law-Constrained Networks

These networks are built so their predictions satisfy conservation laws exactly, rather than only approximately through a penalty.

Contour Plots

Contour lines connect points of equal value, showing a 2D scalar field's levels, gradients, and structure with precision.

Contrastive Learning

Contrastive learning trains representations by pulling similar examples together and pushing dissimilar ones apart, often without labels.

Contrastive Loss and Metric Learning

Metric learning trains embeddings so that distance reflects semantic similarity, using contrastive objectives that attract similar items and repel dissimilar ones.

Control-Oriented Modeling

Building models simple and fast enough for control yet faithful to the dynamics that matter - a different craft from physics modeling.

Convolutional Networks for Plasma Imaging

Convolutional neural networks analyze camera and imaging-diagnostic data to detect events, track structures, and infer plasma conditions.

Convolutional Neural Network

A neural network that shares small learnable filters across an input to detect local patterns efficiently.

Convolutional Neural Networks

CNNs exploit the spatial structure of images by sharing small filters across a grid, learning local patterns that compose into global understanding.

Coordinate Systems in the Model

How the toroidal frame of the breeder and the axial frame of the burner are set up so measurements are unambiguous.

Core-Edge Coupling

Core-edge coupling joins a core transport model to a separate edge and scrape-off-layer model so the boundary condition on the core is computed, not guessed.

Cost Functions and Measurement

In quantum machine learning the loss is built from expectation values of observables, and its structure decides both what is learned and whether training is possible.

Coupling Multi-Physics Models

A plant twin is a federation of coupled physics models that must exchange boundary information consistently without instability.

Cross-Attention

Cross-attention lets one sequence attend to another, the bridge that connects an encoder's representation to a decoder's generation.

Cross-Machine and Cross-Device Transfer Learning

Because the GNN is permutation-equivariant and topology-driven, embeddings pretrained on legacy device data transfer to both Kronos machines.

Cross-Machine Transfer and Domain Shift

Why models trained on one tokamak degrade on another, and how transfer learning helps.

Cross-Validation for Surrogates

Cross-validation reuses scarce data by rotating holdout folds, estimating a surrogate's out-of-sample error without new expensive runs.

Cryogenic Cooling Model

The cryogenic system keeps the REBCO magnets cold enough to stay superconducting despite nuclear and ambient heat loads.

Curiosity and Intrinsic Motivation

Intrinsic rewards drive exploration when the environment's own reward is sparse or absent.

Curriculum Learning

Curriculum learning orders training examples from easy to hard, mirroring how humans learn structured material.

Cyclotron and Synchrotron Radiation

Radiation emitted by electrons gyrating in the magnetic field, a loss that grows with field and temperature.

DAgger: Dataset Aggregation

DAgger fixes behavior cloning's drift by querying the expert on the states the learner itself visits.

Data Augmentation

Data augmentation expands a training set by applying label-preserving transformations, improving generalization and robustness.

Data Classification

Labeling data by sensitivity so that protection, access, and handling rules match the value and risk of each kind of information.

Data Compression Basics

Compression shrinks data by removing redundancy, split into lossless and lossy families.

Data Labeling and Annotation

Data labeling attaches ground-truth annotations to raw examples so supervised models have targets to learn from and to be evaluated against.

Data vs Models

Data are records of what happened; models are compressed theories of why; neither replaces the other and confusing them causes error.

Data-Driven vs First-Principles Modeling

First-principles models start from physical law; data-driven models start from observations. The best systems combine both.

Data-Quality Scoring

Every sample and feature carries a quality score summarizing noise, validation, imputation, and drift, so downstream models weight it correctly.

Decision Tree

A model that predicts by following a sequence of feature-based yes/no splits from a root to a leaf.

Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG)

DDPG is an off-policy actor-critic method for continuous control, learning a deterministic policy alongside a Q-function critic.

Deep Ensembles

Deep ensembles quantify uncertainty by training several networks independently and measuring how much their predictions disagree.

Deep Ensembles

Training several neural networks from different random initializations and combining their predictions gives a simple, strong estimate of model uncertainty.

Deep Kernel Learning (Emulator Error Control)

Deep kernel learning composes a neural feature extractor with a Gaussian-process kernel, giving calibrated uncertainty on top of learned representations -- powerful, but with real

Deep Learning

Machine learning with many-layered neural networks that learn hierarchical features directly from raw data.

Deep Q-Networks (DQN)

DQN scales Q-learning to high-dimensional inputs using a neural network, experience replay, and a slowly updated target network.

Deep-Learning Surrogates

Neural networks learn complex, high-dimensional input-output maps from simulation data, serving as fast surrogates where classical methods struggle.

DeepONet

DeepONet learns an operator by combining a branch network that encodes the input function with a trunk network that encodes the query point.

Dense Connectivity (DenseNet)

DenseNet connects each layer to every earlier layer by concatenation, maximizing feature reuse and gradient flow with few parameters.

DenseNet

DenseNet connects every layer to all later layers by concatenation, maximizing feature reuse and gradient flow with few parameters.

Derivative-Based Sensitivity

Derivative-based global sensitivity measures average squared gradients over the input distribution, cheaply bounding Sobol total effects.

Descriptor and Singular Systems

Descriptor systems mix differential and algebraic equations, capturing constraints and interconnections that ordinary state-space models cannot.

Design of Experiments for Surrogates

Design of experiments chooses where to sample an expensive model so a surrogate learns the most from the fewest runs.

Designing a Validation Experiment

A validation experiment is built to test a model, which means measuring the inputs the model needs as carefully as the outputs.

Detecting Model Degradation in Production

Degradation — a slow decline in a deployed model's accuracy or calibration — is caught by tracking performance against delayed ground truth and independent references.

Determinism vs Learning

Kronos separates the provably-timed control plane from the data-driven models above it, so intelligence can improve without ever endangering the deadline.

Deterministic Networking

When control spans multiple nodes, the network must deliver messages with bounded latency and jitter, which ordinary best-effort networking cannot guarantee.

Deterministic Policy Gradients and DDPG

DDPG learns a deterministic continuous-control policy off-policy, using a critic's action gradient to improve the actor.

Deterministic Simulation Seeds

How Kronos manages random-number seeds so stochastic Monte Carlo and training runs remain exactly reproducible.

Diagnostic & Shot Embeddings

Embedding shots and diagnostic windows into vectors lets the fabric find physically similar situations by nearest-neighbor search.

Differentiable Physics

Differentiable physics embeds known physical laws as differentiable program components so learning and simulation share one gradient path.

Differentiable Simulation

A differentiable simulator computes gradients of its outputs with respect to its inputs, enabling gradient-based design, control, and learning.

Diffusion Model

A generative model that learns to reverse a gradual noising process, turning noise into realistic samples.

Diffusion Models

Diffusion models generate data by learning to reverse a gradual noising process, denoising random noise step by step into a sample.

Digital Twin

A continuously updated virtual model of a physical system, used for analysis, monitoring, and prediction.

Digital-Twin Applications

A living computational model of a specific machine, kept in step with its real counterpart to predict, diagnose, and plan.

Digital-Twin Fidelity Levels

One twin is not enough; a family of models at different fidelities lets each task use the cheapest model that is accurate enough.

Dimensionality Reduction for Surrogates

Reducing inputs or outputs to their essential few directions makes high-dimensional surrogate modeling tractable and more accurate.

Direct Energy Conversion Model

Direct energy conversion (DEC) extracts electricity straight from the kinetic energy of charged fusion products, with no thermal cycle -- the power-extraction path modeled in the b

Distributed Computing

Coordinating many networked computers, each with its own memory, to work on a common task.

Distributed Training Strategy

How Kronos splits large model training across many GPUs with data, tensor, and pipeline parallelism without losing reproducibility.

Distributed-Memory Parallelism

In distributed-memory systems each process owns private memory, and processes cooperate by exchanging explicit messages over a network.

Divertor Heat-Flux Modeling

Divertor modeling predicts the concentrated heat and particle loads on exhaust targets and the mitigation needed to keep them within material limits.

Domain Randomization

Randomizing simulator parameters during training forces policies robust enough to treat reality as one more variation.

Double Q-Learning and Overestimation

The max in Q-learning systematically overestimates values; double Q-learning corrects it by decoupling action selection from evaluation.

Drift Detection: Covariate Shift

Covariate-shift monitors watch the input distributions feeding every deployed model and raise a retraining flag when the live data drifts away from the training set.

Dropout

Dropout randomly disables neurons during training, forcing the network to build redundant, robust features and reducing overfitting.

Dynamic Programming for MDPs

When the environment model is known, dynamic programming solves an MDP exactly by iterating the Bellman equations over all states.

Embedding

A learned mapping of discrete items into a continuous vector space where geometry encodes meaning.

Embedding Storage and Indexing

Storing embeddings well means choosing how to persist dense vectors, keep them synchronized with their source records, and rebuild indexes as data changes.

Embeddings

An embedding maps discrete items into a continuous vector space where geometric closeness reflects semantic similarity.

Emulation vs Simulation

Simulation models how a system behaves from its inner mechanisms; emulation reproduces the input-output behavior without the mechanism.

Engineering Copilot: Subsystem Analysis

Interpreting subsystem telemetry against design limits, physics models, and history to answer 'is this subsystem healthy and why'.

Ensemble Learning

Combining multiple models so their collective prediction beats any single one.

Ensemble Methods

Ensembles combine many models so their errors cancel, usually beating any single model through bagging, boosting, or stacking.

Ensembles and Model Averaging

Combining several models to improve accuracy and, importantly, to estimate uncertainty.

Epistemic vs Aleatoric Uncertainty

Aleatoric uncertainty is irreducible randomness in the system; epistemic uncertainty is reducible ignorance about the model, and the two demand different responses.

Epoch, Batch, Iteration

The three units that describe how much data a training run has processed.

Equation Discovery

Equation discovery infers the governing laws of a system directly from data, aiming for compact, physically meaningful models.

Equivariance and Invariance in Graph Networks

Symmetry is a modeling asset; building permutation, and where relevant geometric, symmetry into GNNs cuts data needs and enables breeder-to-burner transfer.

Equivariant Neural Networks

Equivariant networks are built so that transforming the input, by rotation or reflection, transforms the output the same way, encoding symmetry.

Error Bars on Predictions

A prediction without an error bar hides how much to trust it; sound surrogates report calibrated uncertainty alongside every value.

Evaluation: Regression and Continuous Testing

Every prompt, model, retrieval, or tool change runs the full evaluation suite; a safety regression on any case blocks the release.

Expectation Suites

An expectation suite is a versioned, executable collection of assertions about a dataset that produces a readable pass or fail report each run.

Expectation-Maximization Algorithm

EM iteratively fits models with latent variables by alternating a soft-assignment step with a maximum-likelihood update.

Experiment Tracking and Metadata

Every training run, sweep, and evaluation is logged with its config, metrics, and artifacts, so the history of how a model came to be is fully queryable.

Experimental Validation

The decisive test of a model is comparison to measurement, with quantified uncertainty on both the simulation and the experiment.

Explainability and Interpretability

Being able to say why a model produced an output is what lets humans check it, debug it, and decide whether to act on it.

Exploration Strategies in Deep RL

Beyond random actions, deep RL uses intrinsic curiosity, count bonuses, and posterior sampling to explore hard, sparse-reward tasks.

Exploration vs Exploitation

An agent must balance exploiting what it knows to gain reward now against exploring the unknown to find something better.

Extended and Unscented Kalman Filters

Fusion dynamics are nonlinear; the EKF linearizes the model while the UKF propagates sample points, giving the twin nonlinear state estimation.

Fairness and Bias in Machine Learning

Fairness in ML studies how models can encode or amplify social bias, and the trade-offs among competing fairness definitions.

Feature Engineering

Transforming raw data into informative inputs that make a learning problem easier to solve.

Feature Scaling

Feature scaling puts numeric features on a comparable range so distance- and gradient-based models are not skewed by units.

Feature Store for Plasma and Diagnostic Signals

A shared feature store guarantees that the features a model saw in training are the exact features it sees in production, eliminating training-serving skew.

Feature Stores

A feature store is a shared registry that computes, stores, and serves the engineered inputs a model consumes during training and inference.

Federated / Fleet Learning

Each unit learns from the whole fleet without centralizing raw data.

Federated Learning

Federated learning trains a shared model across many devices or sites without moving their raw data to a central server.

Feedback and Retraining

How pink feedback closes the learning loop: anomalies and drift trigger batch retraining at L0, and validated models return to the twin.

Fermionic Swap Networks

Reordering orbitals with fermionic swap gates so that all interaction terms become local, taming Jordan-Wigner string overhead on limited-connectivity hardware.

Fine-Tuning

Continuing training of a pretrained model on a smaller, task-specific dataset to specialize it.

Fine-Tuning Pretrained Encoders

Fine-tuning adapts a pretrained encoder to a specific task by attaching a small head and continuing training with a low learning rate on labeled data.

Finite State Machine

A model of computation with a finite set of states and rules for transitioning between them on inputs.

Firewalls and Network Filtering

Firewalls enforce which network traffic may cross a boundary, the workhorse control for segmentation and perimeter defense.

Fitting a Gaussian Process

Interpolate noisy data with a Gaussian process that returns not just predictions but calibrated uncertainty.

Flash Attention

Flash attention computes exact attention faster by tiling the calculation to keep intermediate results in fast on-chip memory, never materializing the full score matrix.

Fleet Availability and Model Propagation

How multiple units and shared learning lift facility-level availability toward - though not to single-unit Tier III - the honest target.

Fleet Learning Across Units

When several units share a model backbone, experience on one improves the models for all, so later units start smarter than earlier ones.

Fleet Learning and Model Propagation

Validated models learned on one unit propagate to others under governance, so each new breeder or burner starts from the accumulated experience of the fleet.

Fleet Model Propagation Across Units

As breeder units progress FOAK to NOAK to BOAK, models and lessons propagate across the fleet through the registry, with per-unit validation before any shared model acts.

Fleet-Wide Predictive Maintenance

Remaining-useful-life models trained across the whole fleet predict component degradation earlier and more sharply than any single unit's history allows.

Flux Limiters

Flux limiters blend high- and low-order schemes locally to keep sharp gradients monotone without spurious oscillations.

Ford-Fulkerson Method

The foundational augmenting-path scheme for computing maximum flow in a capacitated network.

Foundation Models

Foundation models are large networks pretrained on broad data that adapt to many downstream tasks, a shift from task-specific to general-purpose AI.

Foundation Models for Plasma Physics

Large models pretrained on broad plasma data aim to transfer across tasks and devices with limited task-specific labels.

Frequency Crowding

As fixed-frequency qubits multiply, their transition frequencies crowd together, causing addressing errors and constraining chip design.

From 3D Model to Digital Twin

A 3D model shows what a Kronos machine looks like; the digital twin adds the physics that makes it behave, turning geometry into a predictive model.

GAIL: Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning

GAIL imitates an expert by matching state-action distributions through an adversarial game, skipping explicit reward recovery.

Gaussian Elimination

The systematic row-reduction procedure that solves linear systems and reveals rank and invertibility.

Gaussian Mixture Models

A Gaussian mixture models data as a weighted sum of several Gaussian components, giving soft, probabilistic clustering.

Gaussian Process Kernels

The kernel of a Gaussian process encodes assumptions about smoothness, scale, and structure, and choosing it is the main modeling decision.

Gaussian Process Regression

A Gaussian process places a distribution over functions, giving predictions with calibrated uncertainty that grows away from the data.

Gaussian Process Surrogates

Gaussian processes are surrogates that return both a prediction and a calibrated uncertainty, ideal where data is scarce and honesty matters.

Gaussian Processes

A Gaussian process is a distribution over functions; it gives the stack calibrated surrogates with built-in error bars, ideal for scarce fusion data.

Gaussian Processes for Fusion

A flexible regression method that reports calibrated uncertainty, well suited to small, expensive datasets.

Gaussian-Process Kernels

The kernel encodes every assumption a Gaussian process makes about smoothness, scale, and structure, and choosing it well is the modeling task.

Gaussian-Process Regression for Plasma

Gaussian processes fit smooth plasma profiles from scattered measurements while returning principled uncertainty and gradient estimates.

GELU and Swish

Smooth, self-gated activations that behave like ReLU for large inputs but curve gently near zero, now standard in transformers and modern vision models.

Generalized Policy Iteration

Nearly every RL algorithm is a case of two processes — value estimation and policy improvement — pushing toward mutual consistency.

Generative Adversarial Network

Two networks trained against each other: a generator that fakes data and a discriminator that detects fakes.

Generative Adversarial Networks

GANs pit a generator against a discriminator in a game, training the generator to produce data realistic enough to fool its critic.

Generative Models in Fusion

Models that learn to produce new plasma-like data, for scenario design, augmentation, and exploration.

Genetic Programming for Symbolic Regression

Genetic programming evolves a population of expression trees through selection, crossover, and mutation to discover fitting formulas.

Global Optimization

Seek the best solution over an entire landscape of many local minima, where gradient methods alone are not enough.

GNN Training on Sensor Topology

Training graph neural networks over the diagnostic constellation so the twin can impute dropped signals and detect anomalies.

Goal-Conditioned RL

A single goal-conditioned policy learns to reach any goal, turning many tasks into one parameterized problem.

GPT and Autoregressive Models

Decoder-only transformers predict the next token given all previous ones, a simple objective that scales into general-purpose language models.

Gradient Boosting

An ensemble method that builds trees sequentially, each correcting the residual errors of the ensemble so far.

Gradient Descent

An optimization method that iteratively steps parameters in the direction that most reduces a loss.

Gradient Descent on a Quadratic Bowl

Minimize a simple quadratic to build intuition for step size, convergence rate, and why conditioning matters.

Gradient-Enhanced Kriging

When gradients are available, gradient-enhanced kriging uses them as extra training data to build accurate surrogates from fewer function evaluations.

Graph Attention Networks

Graph attention networks weight each neighbor by a learned relevance score, letting a node listen more to some neighbors than others.

Graph Neural Networks

GNNs extend deep learning to graph-structured data by learning node representations from the pattern of connections around each node.

Graph Neural Networks: Message-Passing Mathematics

The diagnostic constellation and the coupled subsystems are graphs; message passing is the mathematics that lets a network reason over their topology.

Ground Truth and Labels

Every supervised result rests on labels assumed to be true; when that assumption is shaky, so is everything built on it.

Group Normalization

Group normalization splits channels into groups and normalizes within each group per sample, giving batch-independent normalization for vision models.

Guiding-Center Drifts

The slow, systematic motions of a gyrating particle's center caused by fields, gradients, and curvature.

Handling Class Imbalance

Class imbalance arises when one class dominates; naive training then ignores the rare class that usually matters most.

Handoff Between Anomaly Detection and MPC

The precursor that the anomaly ensemble raises must become an action the MPC agent takes; Kronos defines that handoff precisely and safely.

Hard-Constraint PINNs for Boundary Conditions

Kronos bakes boundary conditions into the network architecture so they hold exactly, improving conditioning over soft-penalty PINNs.

Heteroscedastic Noise Surrogates

When observation noise varies across input space, the surrogate must model an input-dependent noise level rather than a single constant.

Hidden Markov Model

A model of sequences generated by hidden states that transition over time and emit observable outputs.

Hidden Markov Models

An HMM models a sequence of observations generated by a hidden state that evolves as a Markov chain.

Hierarchical Bayesian Calibration

Hierarchical models calibrate across multiple experiments or units by sharing information through population-level priors.

Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning

Hierarchical RL decomposes long tasks into reusable sub-behaviors, letting a high-level policy select among temporally extended options.

Hierarchical RL and the Options Framework

Options are temporally extended actions that let an agent plan over skills rather than primitive steps.

Highway Networks

Highway networks use learned gates to control how much of each layer's input passes through unchanged versus transformed, an early route to training very deep networks.

Hindsight Experience Replay

HER turns failures into learning by relabeling trajectories with the goals that were actually achieved.

Hybrid GNN-PINN Models

Kronos combines the graph network's diagnostic reasoning with the physics network's equation-solving so measurement and physics constrain one solution.

Hybrid Physics-ML Models

Hybrid models combine a trusted physical model with a learned component that corrects its errors or supplies its missing pieces.

Hyperion Central Solenoid

The central solenoid sits on the machine axis and drives plasma current inductively, acting as the primary of a transformer.

Hypernetworks

A hypernetwork is a network that generates the weights of another network, letting one model produce parameters adapted to a context or task.

Hyperparameter

A configuration value set before training that governs how a model learns, not learned from the data itself.

Hyperparameter Search Farm

Parallel search over model architectures and training settings that tunes Kronos PINNs, GNNs, and surrogates at scale.

Hyperparameter Tuning

Hyperparameters set before training, learning rate, depth, regularization, are searched to find the best model configuration.

Imbalanced Classification

When one class is rare, standard training and accuracy fail; resampling, reweighting, and better metrics restore balance.

Imitation Learning

Imitation learning trains a policy to mimic expert demonstrations, bypassing reward design when good examples are available.

Imitation Learning and Behavior Cloning

Behavior cloning turns imitation into supervised learning: predict the expert's action from the state.

Incident-Driven Retraining and Postmortems

Every anomaly becomes a labeled learning example: the postmortem produces corrected labels and a retraining mandate, so the fleet gets safer after each event.

Insider-Threat Model

The design assumes a privileged insider may turn malicious or be coerced, and limits what any single trusted person can do without a second party detecting or blocking it.

Intrusion Detection

Systems that watch network traffic and host activity for signs of attack, so a breach is noticed rather than discovered months later.

Inverse Problems and Parameter Estimation

Infer unknown model inputs from observed outputs, a task that is often ill-posed and sensitive to noise.

Inverse Problems with Machine Learning

Inverse problems infer hidden parameters or fields from indirect measurements, and machine learning provides fast, regularized estimators.

Inverse Reinforcement Learning

Inverse RL recovers the reward function that best explains observed expert behavior, then optimizes it.

Inverse Reinforcement Learning

Inverse RL infers the reward function that best explains observed expert behavior, rather than optimizing a given reward.

Ion Trap Architectures

Paul traps confine ions with oscillating fields; scaling them means shuttling ions between zones or networking many small traps.

K-Nearest Neighbors

k-NN classifies or predicts a point by looking at its k closest training examples, storing all data and computing at query time.

Kelley's Cutting-Plane Algorithm

Kelley's method minimizes a convex function by building a lower model from its supporting linear pieces and minimizing that model each round.

Kennedy-O'Hagan Framework

The Kennedy-O'Hagan framework calibrates a computer model while explicitly modeling the systematic discrepancy between the model and reality.

Knowledge Distillation

Distillation trains a small student model to mimic a large teacher, transferring its behavior into a cheaper package.

Kriging

Kriging is Gaussian process interpolation developed in geostatistics, predicting a spatial field with a best linear unbiased estimator.

Kronos AI-Native Architecture

How Kronos applies AI, machine learning, and quantum computing to fusion — an 8-layer architecture (L0 Foundation → L7 Ecosystem) wired into both machines: the breeder (Hyperion) a

L0 · Foundation

Cloud HPC, bare metal, and supercomputing — the offline multi-physics and batch-training substrate.

L3 Twin Modeling and AI: Architecture Overview

Layer 3 is where Kronos turns validated telemetry into predictive physics: GNNs, PINNs, anomaly ensembles, MPC agents, and the KRONOS-CTRL digital twin.

L3 — Twin Modeling & AI

GNNs, PINNs, anomaly ensembles, and MPC agents running over the KRONOS-CTRL digital twin and its 50-100 ms predictive shadow.

L5 · Applications & Copilots

Agentic Plasma, Engineering, and Operations copilots.

Label Quality and Provenance

Labels are versioned artifacts with recorded source and confidence, because a mislabeled disruption or off-normal event teaches a safety model exactly the wrong lesson.

Lagrangian Neural Networks

Lagrangian neural networks learn a system's Lagrangian, deriving physically consistent dynamics even in arbitrary or constrained coordinates.

LAMB Optimizer

LAMB rescales each layer's update to match the norm of its weights, enabling stable training at very large batch sizes.

Laplace Approximation

The Laplace approximation fits a Gaussian to the posterior around a trained network's weights using the loss curvature, adding uncertainty after the fact.

Large Language Model

A transformer trained on vast text to predict the next token, gaining broad language and reasoning ability.

Lasso Regression

Lasso regression adds an L1 penalty to least squares, driving weights to zero so it selects features while it fits.

Latent-Space Dynamics

Latent-space dynamics models evolve a compressed representation forward in time, giving fast surrogates for high-dimensional simulations.

Layer Normalization

Layer normalization standardizes across features within a single example, making it independent of batch size and ideal for transformers.

Learning Curves

Learning curves plot error against training-set size or training progress, diagnosing whether more data or a better model helps.

Learning GP Hyperparameters

Gaussian process hyperparameters are set by maximizing the marginal likelihood, which balances data fit against model complexity automatically.

Learning-Rate Schedules

A learning-rate schedule changes the step size over training, typically warming up then decaying, to balance fast early progress against stable final convergence.

Learning-Rate-Free Methods

Learning-rate-free methods aim to match a well-tuned step size automatically, removing the most fragile hyperparameter of gradient-based optimization.

Least Squares Estimation

Least squares chooses model parameters that minimize the total squared gap between predictions and observations.

Leave-One-Out CV

Leave-one-out cross-validation estimates a surrogate's predictive error by testing on each training point held out in turn.

LIME Explanations

LIME explains one prediction by fitting a simple, interpretable model to the black box behavior nearby.

Limits of ML in Fusion, and Honest Practice

A candid summary of what machine learning can and cannot do for fusion, and the standards that keep it useful.

Linear Attention

Linear attention replaces the softmax with a kernel feature map, reordering the computation so cost grows linearly rather than quadratically with sequence length.

Linear Regression

Linear regression fits a straight-line relationship between predictors and a response by minimizing squared error.

Linear Regression via the Normal Equations

Fit a line to data by solving a small linear system, and understand why the QR route is numerically safer.

Linking the Model to This Library

Every component in the model connects to an explanatory page here, so geometry and explanation form one reference.

Lion Optimizer

Lion updates each weight by the sign of a momentum-smoothed gradient, using less memory than Adam while remaining competitive on large models.

Logistic Regression

Logistic regression models the probability of a binary outcome as a smooth function of predictors.

Logistic Regression by Gradient Descent

Fit a logistic classifier to a small separable dataset with batch gradient descent and read the learned decision boundary.

Long Short-Term Memory

LSTM cells add a gated memory pathway that lets recurrent networks carry information across hundreds of steps without vanishing gradients.

Loss Function

The scalar objective a model minimizes, quantifying how far predictions are from targets.

Loss Functions

A loss function scores how wrong a prediction is; minimizing it over the data is what training actually optimizes.

Loss Landscape Geometry

The geometry of a model's loss surface, its valleys, barriers, and flatness, shapes how training proceeds and how well the result generalizes.

Lossless & Bounded-Loss Compression

Compression shrinks the archive without discarding physics, using lossless coding where forensics demand it and bounded-loss only where theory permits.

Lossless vs Lossy Compression

Lossless compression restores data exactly; lossy compression trades fidelity for much smaller size.

Lossy Data Compression

Lossy compression achieves large size reductions by discarding information judged unimportant, trading exactness for compactness.

Machine Learning

A family of methods that fit models to data so they generalize to unseen inputs, rather than following hand-written rules.

Machine Learning Basics

Machine learning fits models to data so they can make predictions on inputs they have not seen, guided by measured error.

Machine Learning for Fusion: An Overview

How data-driven models complement physics simulation across control, prediction, reconstruction, and design in magnetic-confinement fusion.

Machine Learning for Materials-Degradation Prediction

Data-driven models predict how neutron irradiation and thermal cycling degrade fusion materials, guiding material choice and component lifetime estimates.

Machine-Learned Profile Prediction

Models predict steady-state or evolving temperature, density, and current profiles from engineering settings, accelerating scenario studies.

Machine-Learned Radiation-Transport Surrogates

Learned surrogates approximate particle- and radiation-transport codes, speeding shielding design and dose estimation across many configurations.

Mamba and Selective State-Space Models

Mamba makes state-space model parameters depend on the input, giving content-aware selectivity with linear-time sequence processing and no attention matrix.

Material Annotations in the Model

Each component is tagged with its material class, so the model shows not just where a part is but what it must be made of.

Mathematical Foundations of the S.M.A.R.T. Generator

Every AI layer running Hyperion and Aegis/MetroVolt rests on a small set of equations: equilibrium PDEs, MHD eigenproblems, Bayesian inference, and constrained optimization.

Max-Flow Min-Cut Theorem

The duality result stating that the maximum s-t flow equals the minimum-capacity s-t cut in any network.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Maximum likelihood picks the parameter values that make the observed data most probable under the model.

Measurement Tools in the Model

Point-to-point, radial, and layer-thickness measurement tools let you read true dimensions directly off the geometry.

Memory Consistency Models

A memory consistency model defines the order in which one core's memory operations become visible to others in a shared-memory system.

Memory-Augmented Neural Networks

Memory-augmented networks pair a controller with an external, addressable memory it can read from and write to, separating computation from storage.

Message Passing

Message passing is the unifying recipe of graph neural networks: gather from neighbors, aggregate symmetrically, then update each node.

Message-Passing Neural Networks

The message-passing framework describes most graph neural networks as three steps: compute messages on edges, aggregate them at nodes, and update node states.

Meta-Reinforcement Learning

Meta-RL learns how to learn, producing agents that adapt to a new task within a handful of episodes.

Metric Learning

Metric learning trains an embedding where distance reflects semantic similarity, enabling retrieval and verification.

Mini-Batch Gradient Descent

The middle ground between full-batch and single-sample updates: average gradients over a small batch for stable, hardware-friendly steps.

Mixed-Integer Programming

Mixed-integer programming combines continuous and integer variables, letting a single model capture both discrete decisions and continuous quantities.

Mixture of Experts

Mixture-of-experts models route each input to a few specialized subnetworks, growing total capacity while keeping per-input computation low.

Mixture-of-Experts Routing

A mixture of experts routes each input to a few specialized subnetworks out of many, growing total capacity while keeping per-input computation low.

ML for Plasma State Classification

Classifiers label the plasma regime in real time, distinguishing confinement modes and operational phases to inform control decisions.

ML Model Integrity and Anti-Poisoning

Models that inform control are treated as security-critical artifacts: their training data, weights, and lineage are protected against poisoning and silent substitution.

ML-Accelerated Experiments

Machine learning shortens the loop between running an experiment, understanding it, and choosing the next one.

ML-Assisted Thomson Scattering Inference

Neural models infer electron temperature and density from Thomson scattering spectra faster and more robustly than fitting each spectrum by hand.

ML-Guided Materials Selection

Using machine learning to rank candidate materials against many coupled requirements before slow, costly testing.

MLOps & Learning

Offline retraining, twin refinement, drift detection, and reinforcement learning from human feedback.

Model Calibration

Tuning uncertain model parameters to match data, a legitimate step that becomes self-deception when confused with validation.

Model Calibration to Data

Calibration tunes a model's uncertain parameters so its predictions match observations, without overfitting to noise.

Model Cards and Documentation

A short structured record of what a model is for, how it was built, and where it fails makes responsible use possible.

Model Discrepancy Function

The discrepancy function represents the systematic gap between a calibrated model and reality, distinct from random noise and parameter error.

Model Honesty and Physics Gates

The model shows what is designed and computed, states clearly that the machines are unbuilt, and flags the gates that remain.

Model Interpretability

Interpretability methods explain why a model made a prediction, supporting trust, debugging, and accountability.

Model Pruning

Pruning removes redundant weights or structures from a trained network to make it smaller and faster.

Model Registries

A model registry is the system of record for trained models, tracking versions, stages, and metadata so deployment is controlled and auditable.

Model Registry and Promotion States

The registry is the single source of truth for every model: its version, lineage, validation status, and a promotion state that governs whether it may act on a machine.

Model Selection and the No Free Lunch Theorem

No single algorithm wins everywhere; model selection compares candidates fairly to find the best fit for a given problem.

Model Selection Principles

Choosing among candidate models means balancing fit against complexity and, above all, estimating how each will perform on unseen cases.

Model Versioning and Provenance

Each model release is a versioned snapshot tied to a frozen design state, so any component can be cited unambiguously.

Model-Based Reinforcement Learning

Model-based RL learns a model of the environment's dynamics and uses it to plan or generate simulated experience.

Model-Based RL and Dyna

Dyna blends real experience with simulated experience from a learned model to accelerate value learning.

Model-Form Uncertainty

The uncertainty from the model itself being an approximation, often the largest and hardest-to-quantify error source.

Model-Predictive Control and RL

MPC plans a short action sequence with a model, executes one step, then replans, and pairs naturally with learned models.

Model-Predictive Control Basics

Model-predictive control repeatedly plans a short future using a model, applies the first step, then re-plans as new data arrives.

Modeling Direct Energy Conversion

The burner captures charged-particle energy directly instead of only as heat; modeling that conversion is central to its design.

Momentum

Accumulate a velocity vector from past gradients to accelerate along consistent directions and damp oscillations across valleys.

MPC for Burner End-Plug Density

The tandem-mirror burner is confined by its end plugs; Kronos's MPC agent regulates plug density to hold the ambipolar potential that traps the central cell.

MTBF, MTTR and Spares

The reliability and repair statistics that feed every availability model, and how spares provisioning cuts effective repair time.

Multi-Agent Consensus

Consensus protocols drive a network of agents to agree on a common value using only communication with neighbors.

Multi-Agent Orchestration Across Copilots

The Plasma, Engineering, and Operations copilots collaborate through L4 with clear ownership, shared grounding, and a single human authority.

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

When many learning agents share an environment, each faces a moving target: the others are learning too.

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

When several learning agents share an environment, each faces a moving target as the others adapt, reshaping the learning problem.

Multi-Armed Bandits

The bandit is RL stripped to one decision: choose among actions with unknown payoffs to maximize total reward.

Multi-Armed Bandits

Bandit algorithms balance exploring uncertain options against exploiting the best-known one to maximize cumulative reward.

Multi-Armed Bandits

The multi-armed bandit is the simplest reinforcement learning problem, isolating exploration versus exploitation with no state transitions.

Multi-Fidelity Modeling

Multi-fidelity methods combine many cheap approximate runs with a few expensive accurate ones to build an accurate model efficiently.

Multi-Fidelity Modeling & Data Fusion

Combine cheap and expensive simulations for calibrated, affordable accuracy.

Multi-Fidelity Surrogates

Multi-fidelity methods combine many cheap approximate runs with few expensive accurate ones to build a surrogate at high-fidelity accuracy for less effort.

Multi-Fidelity Surrogates

Multi-fidelity methods fuse many cheap, approximate model evaluations with a few expensive, accurate ones to build a surrogate that is both fast and trustworthy.

Multi-Head Attention

Running several attention operations in parallel lets a model attend to different kinds of relationships at once, then combine them.

Multi-Query and Grouped-Query Attention

Multi-query attention shares a single set of keys and values across all attention heads, shrinking the memory needed to cache them during generation.

Multi-Task Learning

Multi-task learning trains one model on several related tasks so shared structure improves all of them.

Multiclass Classification

Multiclass classification assigns one of several mutually exclusive labels, using softmax or by decomposing into binary problems.

Multilayer Perceptron

Stacking layers of neurons with nonlinear activations turns a linear classifier into a universal function approximator.

Multimodal Fusion Strategies

Multimodal models combine signals from different modalities at different depths, trading simplicity against the richness of cross-modal interaction.

Multiscale Modeling

Phenomena spanning atoms to devices cannot be captured at one resolution; multiscale modeling links models across scales that no single method reaches.

MuZero

MuZero plans with a learned model of dynamics in a latent space, so it needs no access to the true game rules.

Naive Bayes

A fast probabilistic classifier that assumes features are conditionally independent given the class.

Natural Gradient

The natural gradient rescales the ordinary gradient by the Fisher information matrix, following the steepest descent direction in distribution space.

Nesterov Accelerated Gradient

A momentum variant that evaluates the gradient at a look-ahead point, achieving the optimal first-order convergence rate for smooth convex problems.

Network Segmentation and Air Gaps

Dividing a network into isolated zones limits how far an intruder can move, and an air gap is the strongest form of that isolation.

Network Topologies

Topology is the arrangement of links between nodes; it determines message hop counts, bisection bandwidth, and how a cluster scales.

Networked Control Systems

Networked control systems close feedback loops over shared communication networks, contending with delay, packet loss, jitter, and limited bandwidth.

Neural Architecture Search

Neural architecture search automates designing network structures, searching over layers and connections for the best design.

Neural Closure Models

Neural closures learn the unresolved subgrid terms of a coarse simulation, letting a cheap grid approximate expensive high-resolution physics.

Neural Network

A model of layered, weighted connections between simple units that together approximate complex functions.

Neural Network Architectures for Sequences and Fields

Choosing recurrent, convolutional, attention, or graph models to match plasma data structure.

Neural Network Basics

The building blocks of the models used across fusion ML, from layers to training.

Neural Network Surrogates

Neural networks approximate expensive physics across large, high-dimensional datasets, trading interpretability for speed and scale.

Neural Networks

Neural networks compose many simple weighted units into flexible function approximators trained by gradient descent.

Neural Operators

Neural operators learn mappings between function spaces, so one trained model can solve a whole family of PDEs at any resolution.

Neural Operators

Neural operators learn mappings between function spaces, so one trained model solves a family of PDEs at any resolution.

Neural Operators (DeepONet / FNO)

Fast PDE surrogates across the whole parameter space, more general than a single PINN.

Neural Operators for Field Surrogates

Neural operators learn the mapping from parameters to entire physical fields, giving Kronos fast, resolution-flexible surrogates for transport and thermal solves.

Neural Operators: DeepONet and Fourier Neural Operators

Neural operators learn mappings between function spaces, so one trained model returns a whole equilibrium or field for a new profile, not a single point solution.

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations

Neural ODEs treat a network's depth as continuous time, defining the transformation as the solution of a differential equation parameterized by a neural network.

Neural Turing Machines

A Neural Turing Machine couples a neural controller to a differentiable memory using content and location-based addressing, learning simple algorithms end to end.

Neural-Network Equilibrium Solvers

Neural networks learn to solve the Grad-Shafranov equation orders of magnitude faster than iterative solvers, enabling near-instant magnetohydrodynamic equilibrium estimates.

Nonlinear Multi-Fidelity GP

When the relationship between fidelity levels is nonlinear, a deep-structured Gaussian process learns the mapping instead of assuming a constant scaling.

Normalizing Flows

Normalizing flows build generative models from invertible transformations, giving exact likelihoods where VAEs and GANs give only approximations.

Offline and Batch-Retraining Lines

The high-throughput, high-latency connections that move petabytes to the compute substrate for multi-physics runs and model retraining.

Offline Reinforcement Learning

Offline RL learns policies entirely from a fixed dataset of logged experience, without any further interaction with the environment.

Offline Retraining on L0

L0 is where every model is retrained: a slow, expansive, reproducible compute substrate that regenerates ground truth before any artifact is compiled toward the machine.

Offline RL: Conservative Q-Learning

CQL learns from a fixed dataset by pushing down Q-values on unseen actions, preventing overestimation of out-of-distribution behavior.

Offline RL: Implicit Q-Learning

IQL learns entirely within the dataset by never evaluating actions it has not seen, using expectile regression on the value function.

On-Chip Power Delivery

A power delivery network distributes stable supply voltage across a chip despite rapidly changing current demand from switching logic.

On-Policy vs Off-Policy Learning

On-policy methods learn about the policy they follow; off-policy methods learn about one policy from data generated by another.

One Gradient-Boosting Round

Fit a shallow tree to the residuals of a constant predictor and watch a single boosting round shrink the loss.

Online/Offline Feature Parity

A feature must compute identically live and from the archive; the fabric enforces this parity so models behave the same in training and operation.

Out-of-Distribution Detection

Recognizing when a model is being asked about inputs unlike anything it was trained on.

Overfitting

When a model fits the training data's noise and fails to generalize to new data.

Overfitting and Generalization

A model that memorizes its training data fails on new data; the goal is to capture the signal without fitting the noise.

Overfitting and Regularization

Why models memorize small fusion datasets, and the techniques that make them generalize.

Partial Observability and POMDPs

When the agent cannot observe the full state, it must act on incomplete information and maintain beliefs about what it cannot see.

Patch Embeddings and Positional Encoding in ViT

Patch embedding turns a 2D image into a token sequence with one strided convolution, and position embeddings restore the spatial layout the transformer would otherwise ignore.

PCA on a Small Dataset

Center a small dataset, compute its covariance eigenvectors, and project onto the leading principal component.

Permutation Importance

Permutation importance ranks features by how much a model performance drops when a feature values are shuffled.

Petabyte Pulse Histories

The complete, replayable archive of every pulse and simulation campaign that grounds retraining, refinement, and audit.

PETS: Probabilistic Ensembles with Trajectory Sampling

PETS captures model uncertainty with an ensemble of probabilistic networks and plans with sampling-based model-predictive control.

Physics vs Data-Driven Twins

A twin can be first-principles physics, machine-learned surrogates, or a hybrid - and Kronos uses fast learned models inside a physics-consistent frame.

Physics-Constrained ML for Transport

Embedding conservation laws and known limits into transport models keeps predictions physically valid and improves extrapolation beyond the training data.

Physics-Informed Networks for Grad-Shafranov

Physics-informed neural networks solve the Grad-Shafranov equilibrium equation by minimizing the PDE residual directly, needing few or no labeled solutions.

Physics-Informed Neural Network

A neural network trained to satisfy governing physical equations, not just fit data.

Physics-Informed Neural Networks

Neural networks trained to respect governing equations, improving data efficiency and extrapolation.

Physics-Informed Neural Networks

A PINN trains a neural network to satisfy a differential equation by penalizing the equation's residual at sampled points inside the domain.

Physics-Informed Neural Networks: Fundamentals

A PINN represents a field as a neural network and trains it to satisfy a PDE via automatic differentiation, turning solving into optimization.

PID Tuning

Tuning sets the three PID gains to balance speed, overshoot, and disturbance rejection, by rule, by model, or by iterative adjustment.

Pink — Feedback, Alerts, and Retraining

Pink blocks close the loop — anomaly alerts, drift detection, and the retraining signals that keep the twin honest as the machines evolve.

PINN Conditioning and Training Dynamics

PINNs fail in characteristic ways - spectral bias and unbalanced gradients; the neural-tangent-kernel view explains why and guides fixes.

PINN Loss and Collocation Points

The PINN objective is a weighted sum of residual, boundary, initial, and data losses evaluated at sampled collocation points.

PINN Loss Construction and Weighting

A PINN's loss sums PDE residual, boundary, and data terms; how those terms are weighted decides whether training converges to the physical solution.

PINN Training Pathologies

Physics-informed networks fail in characteristic ways: stiff gradients, spectral bias, and imbalanced loss terms that stall optimization.

PINN Training Workloads

Training physics-informed neural networks that solve Grad-Shafranov and MHD residuals natively for fast twin evaluation.

PINNs for the Burner Ambipolar Potential

The tandem-mirror burner is confined by an electrostatic potential; Kronos solves that ambipolar potential with a physics-informed network.

Pointer Networks

Pointer networks use attention as the output itself, selecting positions in the input sequence rather than tokens from a fixed vocabulary.

Policies

A policy is the agent's behavior: a rule, deterministic or stochastic, that maps states to actions.

Policy Gradient

A reinforcement learning approach that optimizes a parameterized policy directly by gradient ascent on expected reward.

Policy Iteration

Policy iteration alternates full policy evaluation with greedy improvement, converging to an optimal policy in a finite number of steps.

Positional Encoding

Because attention ignores order, transformers add positional encodings so the model knows where each token sits in the sequence.

Precision and Recall

Two complementary metrics capturing how accurate a classifier's positive calls are and how many positives it finds.

Predictive Maintenance

A twin forecasts when components will need attention by tracking their real accumulated stress, replacing fixed schedules with condition-based action.

Preventing Training-Serving Skew

Skew — any difference between how a feature or model behaves in training versus production — is treated as a defect and caught by contract tests before deployment.

Principal Component Analysis

PCA finds orthogonal directions of maximum variance, giving a linear projection that compresses data with minimal loss.

Prioritized Experience Replay

Replay transitions in proportion to how surprising they are, so the agent learns fastest from its biggest errors.

Probability Calibration

A calibrated model outputs probabilities that match observed frequencies, so a 0.7 prediction is right about 70 percent of the time.

Projected Gradient Descent

Take a gradient step, then project back onto the feasible set, a simple and effective method for constrained problems with easy projections.

Proper Orthogonal Decomposition

POD extracts an optimal low-dimensional basis from simulation snapshots, enabling reduced-order models that run far faster than the full system.

Proximal Gradient Methods

Proximal gradient descent minimizes a smooth term plus a nonsmooth term by taking a gradient step, then a proximal step.

Proximal Gradient Methods

Split a smooth loss from a nonsmooth regularizer: gradient-step the smooth part, then apply the proximal operator of the rest.

Proximal Policy Optimization

PPO improves policies with a clipped objective that permits several update steps per batch while preventing destructively large policy changes.

Public vs Signed-In Detail

The model shows a full public teaser with real geometry and physics, and reveals deeper internal detail to signed-in users.

Purdue Model Segmentation for the Plant

The plant network is layered into Purdue levels 0 to 5 with a hardened level 3.5 DMZ, so a breach at one level cannot traverse directly to the physics.

Q-Learning

A model-free reinforcement learning method that learns the value of actions to derive an optimal policy.

Q-Learning

Q-learning is an off-policy temporal-difference method that learns the optimal action-value function regardless of how the agent explores.

QLKNN-Style Neural Transport Models

Neural networks trained on quasilinear gyrokinetic flux databases predict turbulent transport in milliseconds, replacing runtime calls to slow physics codes.

Quantile Regression DQN

QR-DQN represents the return distribution by learned quantile locations, removing C51's fixed value grid.

Quantile Regression Uncertainty

Quantile regression predicts conditional quantiles directly, capturing the shape of the output distribution without assuming it is Gaussian.

Quantum Neural Networks

Quantum neural networks are parameterized quantum circuits trained like neural networks, borrowing the layered structure and gradient-based optimization of deep learning.

Quasi-Newton Methods

Approximate the Hessian from successive gradients, capturing curvature without ever computing second derivatives.

Radial Basis Function Surrogates

Radial basis function interpolants build a surrogate from weighted bumps centered on training points, giving smooth fits with simple linear algebra.

Reading a Confusion Matrix and ROC Curve

Evaluate a classifier honestly with counts of the four outcome types and the threshold-sweep ROC curve.

Real-Time Model Updating

A twin must revise not only its state but its own parameters as the real machine drifts, wears, and reveals mismodeled physics.

Reconciling Models with the As-Built Machine

Hardware never matches the drawing exactly; measuring the real machine and updating the models keeps the digital twin honest.

Recurrent Networks for Plasma Time Series

Recurrent neural networks model the temporal dynamics of plasma signals for forecasting, event detection, and control.

Recurrent Neural Network

A neural network with feedback connections that maintains state to process sequences of varying length.

Recurrent Neural Networks

RNNs process sequences one step at a time, carrying a hidden state that acts as memory of everything seen so far.

Reduced-Order Modeling

Reduced-order models compress a high-fidelity simulation into a much smaller one that keeps the behavior that matters.

Reduced-Order Modeling with ML

Reduced-order models compress a high-dimensional simulation into a few coordinates whose dynamics are cheap to evolve.

Regime Drift Detection on Plasma State

Regime monitors detect when the machine crosses into a plasma operating regime outside a model's validated envelope and gate that model accordingly.

Regression Analysis

Statistical modeling of the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more predictors.

Regression Methods for Fusion Data

Fitting continuous relationships from data, from linear models to flexible learners, with fusion examples.

Regression Metrics

Regression metrics such as MSE, MAE, and R-squared quantify how far continuous predictions fall from the truth.

Regression Testing

Automated tests that catch when a change silently breaks something that used to work, the immune system of a long-lived code.

Regret Minimization

Regret measures how much worse a sequence of decisions did than the best fixed choice in hindsight; minimizing it is the goal of online learning.

Regularization

Techniques that constrain a model's complexity to improve generalization and reduce overfitting.

REINFORCE

REINFORCE is the simplest policy-gradient algorithm, updating policy parameters using Monte Carlo returns as the action weight.

Reinforcement Learning

Learning a policy that maximizes cumulative reward by interacting with an environment through trial and error.

Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback

RLHF trains a reward model from human preference comparisons, then optimizes a policy against it.

Reinforcement-Learning Basics

The core concepts of learning to act, framed for readers who will meet RL in plasma control.

Replay & What-If Simulation

Recorded machine inputs are replayed against new procedure, twin, or policy versions to test changes safely before they touch hardware.

Reproducibility of Compute

The discipline that lets any Kronos simulation or training result be re-derived exactly, because the machines are still numerical.

Reproducible Datasets

A reproducible dataset can be regenerated exactly from its recorded inputs, code, and environment, or independently verified against a stated tolerance.

Reproducible Training Runbooks

Every training run is deterministic and re-executable: pin the data, seed, code, and container, and two runs produce the same model — reproducibility is a hard gate.

Residual Connections

A residual connection adds a layer's input to its output, letting networks learn refinements to the identity and making very deep stacks trainable.

Resiliency and Operations: Overview

How the Kronos AI stack keeps the breeder (Hyperion) and burner (Aegis / MetroVolt) running safely when components, sensors, or models fail.

ResNet and Skip Connections

Residual connections let a layer learn a correction to its input rather than a full transformation, making very deep networks trainable.

Retrieval-Augmented Generation

Retrieval-augmented generation fetches relevant documents from an external store and conditions a generative model on them, grounding outputs in retrievable knowledge.

Return and Discounting

The return is the cumulative reward an agent seeks to maximize; the discount factor sets how much future reward counts against the present.

Reward Hacking

Agents optimize the reward you write, not the goal you meant; the gap between them is reward hacking.

Reward Modeling

A reward model is a learned proxy for what we want, standing in for a true objective that is hard to specify.

Reward Modeling for Control and Copilots

The reward model that RLHF optimizes against is itself a versioned, validated artifact — miscalibrated reward is a hazard, so it passes its own gates.

Reward Shaping

Reward shaping adds guidance signals to speed learning, but only potential-based shaping is guaranteed to be safe.

Reward Shaping

Reward shaping adds guidance signals to sparse rewards to speed learning, but poorly designed shaping can change what the agent learns.

Ridge Regression

Ridge regression adds an L2 penalty to least squares, shrinking weights to reduce variance and tame correlated features.

RL from Human Feedback

RLHF learns a reward model from human preference judgments, then optimizes a policy against it to align behavior with human intent.

RMSProp

Fix AdaGrad's vanishing step size by scaling gradients with an exponentially decaying average of their recent magnitudes.

RMSprop for Optimization

RMSprop adapts per-parameter learning rates using an exponentially decaying average of squared gradients, curing Adagrad's vanishing step size.

RMSprop Optimizer

RMSprop scales each parameter's step by a running average of its squared gradients, adapting the learning rate per parameter to handle varying gradient magnitudes.

Roadmap: 3D Model to FOAK

The path from today's three-dimensional model to an operational twin at first-of-a-kind runs through simulation, hardware-in-the-loop, and commissioning.

ROC and AUC

A curve and a summary number describing a classifier's performance across all decision thresholds.

Rollback and Safe-State Fallback

Every deployed model has a certified predecessor and a physics-based safe state it can fall to within a bounded time, so a bad model is always reversible.

Rotary Position Embeddings

Rotary position embeddings encode position by rotating query and key vectors, so attention depends on the relative distance between tokens.

Saddle Points and Nonconvexity

In high-dimensional nonconvex problems, saddle points, not local minima, are the main obstacle to gradient-based training.

Safe RL and Constrained MDPs

Safe RL maximizes reward subject to constraints, so the agent respects safety limits during and after learning.

Safety in Reinforcement Learning

Safe RL seeks policies that respect constraints and avoid harmful behavior during both learning and deployment.

Saliency Maps

Saliency maps highlight which parts of an input a neural network relied on, usually via gradients of the output.

SARSA

SARSA is an on-policy temporal-difference control method that learns the value of the policy it actually follows, including its exploration.

Scientific Machine Learning

Scientific machine learning fuses data-driven models with the governing equations, symmetries, and constraints of physical systems.

Seasonal Decomposition

Decomposition splits a time series into trend, seasonal, and remainder parts to reveal and model each separately.

Self-Attention

Self-attention lets every position in a sequence attend to every other, building context-aware representations in a single parallel operation.

Self-Play

In self-play an agent improves by competing against copies of itself, generating an ever-stronger curriculum.

Self-Supervised Learning

Self-supervised learning creates its own labels from unlabeled data by hiding part of the input and predicting it.

Semi-Supervised Learning

Semi-supervised learning combines a small labeled set with a large unlabeled one to train better than labels alone allow.

Sensitivity Analysis

Which inputs actually move the answer? Sensitivity analysis ranks them, focusing measurement and modeling effort where it matters.

Shift Handover and Operating Briefings

A structured, replayable handover so an incoming crew inherits the machine's full state, open issues, and recent history without loss.

Siamese Networks

Siamese networks run two inputs through identical weight-sharing towers and compare their embeddings to judge similarity.

Sigmoid and Tanh

The classic S-shaped activations squash inputs into bounded ranges; still useful at outputs and gates, but prone to vanishing gradients in deep hidden layers.

Sim-to-Real Transfer

Why a policy or model trained in simulation may fail on hardware, and how to narrow the gap.

Sim-to-Real Transfer

Policies trained in simulation must bridge the reality gap to work on physical systems, using randomization and robust training.

Simulation-Based Inference

When a model can simulate data but not write down a likelihood, simulation-based inference recovers the parameters that explain observations.

Soft Actor-Critic

SAC maximizes reward plus policy entropy, giving a stable, sample-efficient, exploration-friendly control algorithm.

Soft Actor-Critic (SAC)

SAC is an off-policy actor-critic that maximizes reward plus policy entropy, yielding robust exploration and strong continuous control.

Source Coding Theorem

Shannon's source coding theorem sets entropy as the hard floor on lossless compression.

Sparse Attention

Sparse attention restricts each token to attend to a chosen subset of positions, cutting the quadratic cost of full attention while preserving important connections.

Sparse Gaussian Processes

Sparse Gaussian processes summarize a large dataset with a small set of inducing points, cutting the cubic cost of exact inference.

Sparse Regression and SINDy

SINDy discovers governing equations by selecting a few active terms from a large library of candidate functions using sparse regression.

Spiking Neural Networks

Spiking neural networks communicate with discrete timed events rather than continuous values, modeling neurons that integrate inputs and fire when a threshold is crossed.

Star Schema and Dimensional Modeling

Dimensional modeling organizes analytical data into fact tables of measurements surrounded by dimension tables of descriptive context.

State Observers and the Luenberger Observer

An observer reconstructs unmeasured states by running a model of the plant corrected by the difference between predicted and actual outputs.

State-Space Representation

State-space models describe a system by first-order equations in a state vector, handling multivariable and nonlinear dynamics naturally.

States, Actions, and Rewards

The three raw ingredients of any reinforcement learning problem: what the agent sees, what it can do, and how it is scored.

Stochastic Approximation

Find the root or minimizer of a function observed only through noisy measurements, the theoretical basis of stochastic gradient methods.

Stochastic Collocation

Stochastic collocation propagates uncertainty by running the model at a structured set of sample points and interpolating the response.

Stochastic Gradient Descent

A scalable form of gradient descent that updates parameters from small random batches of data.

Storage Array Architecture

The parallel storage systems that hold petabyte pulse histories and feed high-bandwidth reads to Monte Carlo and training jobs.

Stream Topology & Topics

A disciplined topic taxonomy separates measurements, state, proposals, commands, and audit so each gets the right retention and access policy.

Structured State-Space Models (S4)

Structured state-space models represent a sequence layer as a linear dynamical system, computed as a long convolution to capture very long-range dependencies efficiently.

Subgradient Methods

Subgradient methods minimize nondifferentiable convex functions by stepping along any subgradient, using a diminishing step size for convergence.

Subgradient Methods

Optimize nondifferentiable convex functions by stepping along any subgradient, trading speed for the ability to handle kinks.

Successor Features and Representations

Successor representations factor value into expected future state occupancy times reward, enabling fast transfer.

Supervised Learning

Learning a function from input-output pairs so it predicts correct outputs for new inputs.

Support Vector Machine

A classifier that finds the boundary with the widest margin between classes, extended to nonlinear cases with kernels.

Surrogate Gradient Learning

Surrogate gradients let spiking networks train with backpropagation by replacing the non-differentiable spike function's derivative with a smooth stand-in.

Surrogate Model

A fast approximation trained to mimic an expensive simulation or experiment.

Surrogate Modeling

A surrogate is a fast approximation of an expensive simulation, trained on solver outputs to enable many-query design and analysis.

Surrogate Models

A surrogate model is a fast approximation of a slow simulation, trained to reproduce its outputs across a design space.

Surrogate Models and Emulators

A fast approximation trained on a slow model lets you explore vast design spaces, as long as you respect where it was trained.

Surrogate Models and Machine Learning

Surrogate models approximate expensive physics codes with fast learned functions, enabling real-time control, large scans, and optimization at reduced fidelity.

Surrogate Models for Design

Fast approximations of slow simulations that let engineers explore, optimize, and quantify uncertainty at scale.

Surrogate Models for Transport

Learned stand-ins for turbulent transport calculations that make integrated modeling and control feasible.

Surrogate Models for Turbulence

Emulating gyrokinetic turbulence results, the most expensive step in transport modeling, with learned models.

Surrogate Models for Twins

Surrogates are fast approximations of expensive physics codes, letting a twin run inside real-time and assimilation loops.

Surrogate Models for Uncertainty Quantification

A fast approximation trained on a few expensive runs stands in for the real code, making thousands of UQ evaluations feasible.

Surrogate Models in Code Workflows

Surrogate models approximate expensive physics codes with fast statistical or machine-learned functions, enabling scans that would otherwise be infeasible.

Surrogate Models Inside the MPC Loop

MPC needs to roll the plant model forward many times per cycle, so Kronos uses fast differentiable surrogates as the prediction model.

Surrogate Models: Concepts

Fast approximations that stand in for expensive simulations, and the rules for using them without fooling yourself.

Surrogate Retraining Cadence

Twin surrogates are retrained on a governed cadence — scheduled, drift-triggered, and regime-triggered — so acceleration never comes at the cost of stale physics.

Surrogate-Accelerated Twins

Surrogate acceleration blends fast approximations with occasional full-physics runs, keeping a twin both quick and trustworthy.

Surrogate-Assisted Optimization

When each objective evaluation is expensive, a surrogate guides the search, spending real evaluations only where they most improve the design.

Surrogate-Based Optimization

Replace an expensive objective with a cheap approximate model, optimize on the surrogate, and validate with occasional true evaluations.

Surrogate-Based Reliability

Replacing an expensive limit-state function with an adaptively refined surrogate makes rare-failure probability estimation affordable.

Surrogate-Driven Optimization

A surrogate is a fast learned stand-in for a slow simulation, making optimization and uncertainty analysis affordable at scale.

Surrogates for Fusion Simulation

Fusion design leans on expensive multiphysics codes; surrogates make the scans, optimization, and uncertainty studies those designs require affordable.

Symbolic Regression

Symbolic regression searches the space of mathematical expressions for a compact formula that fits data and can be read and interpreted.

System Identification

System identification builds mathematical models of dynamic systems from measured input-output data rather than first principles.

TD(lambda) and Eligibility Traces

TD(lambda) blends one-step temporal-difference learning and Monte Carlo returns using eligibility traces to assign credit over multiple steps.

Temperature Scaling

Temperature scaling recalibrates a neural network confidence with a single learned parameter, without changing predictions.

Temporal Convolutional Networks

Temporal convolutional networks model sequences with stacked dilated causal convolutions, offering a parallel alternative to recurrent networks for time-series tasks.

Temporal-Difference Learning

Temporal-difference learning updates value estimates from one step of experience by bootstrapping off its own next estimate.

Tensor and Matrix Cores

Tensor cores are hardware units that multiply small matrices in one operation, delivering most of an accelerator's throughput on deep learning.

Tensor Networks: The Classical Competitor

Tensor-network methods are the classical benchmark quantum simulation must beat; they already solve many correlated-electron problems Kronos cares about.

Tensor-Network Decoders

Tensor-network decoders approximate the true maximum-likelihood correction by contracting a network that sums over all error configurations.

The Adjoint Method

The adjoint method computes the gradient of an objective with respect to many parameters at a cost independent of the number of parameters.

The Adjoint Method

A technique to compute the gradient of a scalar objective with respect to many parameters at a cost independent of the parameter count.

The Advantage Function

The advantage function measures how much better an action is than the policy's average, sharpening the learning signal for policy gradients.

The Agent-Environment Loop

Every reinforcement learning problem is a cycle: observe a state, act, receive reward and next state, repeat.

The Attention Mechanism

Attention lets a model dynamically weight different parts of its input, focusing on what is relevant to each step of its output.

The Availability Gate

The honest availability finding: modelled ~0.86-0.995 against a Tier III target of 0.99982 - a 30-100x downtime shortfall stated as a physics-and-operations fact.

The Bootstrap Current

A self-generated toroidal current driven by the plasma pressure gradient through trapped-particle dynamics.

The Color Grammar

Seven colors classify every block in the blueprint by role — so a glance tells you whether you are looking at governance, infrastructure, or a thermal path.

The Component Labeling System

A consistent naming and tagging scheme lets every part in both machines be selected, cited, and cross-referenced.

The Conjugate Gradient Method

Solve a symmetric positive-definite system in at most n steps by searching along mutually conjugate directions.

The Conjugate Gradient Method

The conjugate gradient method solves symmetric positive-definite systems efficiently using short recurrences and conjugate search directions.

The Continual Learning Loop

Kronos closes a data-to-model loop that continually re-grounds every predictive object against new pulse evidence without ever letting the machine learn online.

The Credit Assignment Problem

When reward arrives long after the actions that earned it, the agent must figure out which decisions deserve credit or blame.

The Curse of Dimensionality

As input dimensions grow, volume explodes and samples spread thin, defeating grid methods and straining every surrogate and UQ technique.

The Dephasing Channel

Dephasing destroys phase coherence while preserving populations, the loss mechanism behind T2 and the classical limit.

The Depolarizing Channel

The depolarizing channel replaces a state with the maximally mixed state at some rate, a symmetric and widely used noise model.

The Diffusion Equation

A parabolic partial differential equation describing how a conserved quantity spreads down its own gradient over time.

The Exploration-Exploitation Trade-off

Every learning agent must balance taking known-good actions against gathering information about uncertain ones.

The Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman Equation

The HJB equation is the dynamic-programming condition for optimal control, defining the value function whose gradient yields the optimal feedback law.

The Intelligence Flywheel Across Design, Build, Operate

Each phase produces data that improves the models used in the next, so knowledge compounds from design through build to operation.

The Intelligence Layer

The intelligence layer is the software and models that turn raw plant data into predictions, decisions, and design insight.

The Interactive 3D Model

Kronos's interactive 3D model lets anyone explore its machines in the browser - rotate the geometry, open cutaways, run the real physics - and it is the foundation the digital twin

The Internal Model Principle

To track or reject a signal with zero error, a feedback loop must contain a model of that signal's generating dynamics.

The Ion-Temperature-Gradient Mode

A drift-type microinstability driven by steep ion temperature gradients, a leading cause of core heat loss.

The Josephson Junction

A thin insulating barrier between two superconductors carries a lossless supercurrent set by phase difference, giving superconducting qubits their nonlinearity.

The Model as Design Record

The 3D model is a versioned design and simulation record of two unbuilt machines, not a depiction of existing hardware.

The Multi-Armed Bandit

The multi-armed bandit is the simplest model of learning by trial and error: repeatedly pull one of several arms with unknown reward, aiming to maximize total reward.

The Operations Copilot: Scope and Reasoning Loop

An advisory agent that generates runbooks and procedures, supports shift handoff, and assembles campaign context from the twin and the data fabric.

The Parameter-Shift Rule

The parameter-shift rule computes exact gradients of a quantum circuit by evaluating the same circuit at two shifted parameter values.

The Perceptron

The perceptron is the simplest trainable neuron: a weighted sum passed through a threshold, and the historical seed of neural networks.

The Physics-Computable Model

Geometry in the model is tied to the frozen design parameters, so fields, currents, and dimensions read off the parts themselves.

The PINN Loss: Residual, Boundary, and Data Terms

How Kronos composes the physics residual, boundary conditions, and sparse measurements into a single differentiable loss for equilibrium and stability PINNs.

The Policy Gradient Theorem

The policy gradient theorem gives the gradient of expected return with respect to policy parameters without differentiating the environment.

The Predictive Capability Maturity Model

A framework that rates how mature a simulation capability is across several axes, rather than declaring it credible or not.

The Public 3D Model as Visualization

A shareable, interactive 3D machine model is a visualization: it makes a design legible to a broad audience while protecting sensitive detail.

The Purdue Model

A reference architecture that layers an industrial network into levels, from field devices up to enterprise IT, to structure segmentation.

The Roofline Model

The roofline model plots achievable performance against arithmetic intensity, showing whether a kernel is limited by compute or by memory bandwidth.

The Roofline Model

The roofline model plots achievable performance against arithmetic intensity to show whether a kernel is limited by compute or by memory bandwidth.

The Softmax Cross-Entropy Gradient

Turn logits into class probabilities and derive why the combined gradient collapses to predicted-minus-target.

The Transformer

The transformer builds sequence models entirely from attention and feedforward layers, enabling the parallel training that produced modern foundation models.

The Two Machines in One Model

The interactive 3D model holds both Kronos designs, the Hyperion breeder and the tandem-mirror burner, as fully explorable geometry.

Threat Model: The Networked Reactor

A structured enumeration of who might attack a Kronos plant, what they want, and how they could try - the basis every control in this section is measured against.

Threat Modeling

A structured way to find what can go wrong in a system before an attacker does, by reasoning about assets, entry points, and adversaries.

Time-Series Classification for Plasma Diagnostics

Methods for labeling multichannel, non-stationary plasma signals in real time and offline.

Time-Series Compression

Time-series compression exploits the regularity of timestamped measurements to store them in a small fraction of their raw size, often losslessly.

Tokenization

Splitting text into the discrete units a language model reads and predicts.

Tokenization and Subwords

Tokenization splits text into the units a model processes; subword schemes balance vocabulary size against the ability to represent any word.

Train/Validation/Test Split

Splitting data into training, validation, and test sets keeps model selection honest and the final estimate unbiased.

Trainability and Local Cost Functions

A quantum model is trainable only if its gradients stay measurable as it scales; local cost functions and structured ansatze are the main ways to keep them so.

Training a Small CNN on Toy Images

Build and train a compact convolutional network to separate two synthetic image classes, and read the convergence from the loss curve.

Training-Data Curation from Pulse Histories

Turning raw petabyte pulse histories and simulation campaigns into clean, labeled, versioned datasets fit to train twin models.

Transfer Learning

Transfer learning reuses knowledge from a model trained on a large dataset to solve a related task with far less data.

Transfer Learning Across Devices

Models trained on existing fusion devices give Kronos machines a head start, provided the transfer respects where the physics differs.

Transfer Learning and Pretraining

Reusing knowledge from large or related datasets to help models learn from scarce fusion data.

Transformer

A sequence architecture built on attention that processes all positions in parallel and scales to very large models.

Transformer Models for Fusion Time Series

Attention-based transformers model long-range dependencies in multi-channel plasma signals for prediction and representation learning.

Transformer Self-Attention Computed by Hand

Work a single self-attention head through query-key scores, softmax weights, and value mixing on three short tokens with tiny vectors.

Triplet Networks

Triplet networks learn embeddings from an anchor, a positive, and a negative example, enforcing that the anchor sits closer to the positive than to the negative.

Trust Region Policy Optimization

TRPO improves a policy while limiting how far it moves, using a constraint on policy change to guarantee monotonic improvement.

Trust-Region Methods

Build a local model, trust it only within a region, and expand or shrink that region based on how well the model predicted reality.

Tuning Gaussian-Process Hyperparameters

GP hyperparameters - length scales, variance, and noise - are learned by maximizing the marginal likelihood, which balances fit against simplicity.

Twin, Simulation, and Model Compared

A model describes behavior, a simulation runs it forward, and a twin keeps a simulation locked to a real asset with live data.

Two-Stage Stochastic Programming

The two-stage model makes a here-and-now decision, observes the random outcome, then takes a recourse action to correct for it, minimizing total expected cost.

UMAP

UMAP is a fast nonlinear embedding that preserves local and some global structure, useful for both visualization and features.

Uncertainty Quantification

Knowing how much to trust a model's prediction, and communicating that alongside the number.

Uncertainty Quantification

A prediction without an honest error bar is only half a result; UQ is the discipline of attaching credible uncertainty to model outputs.

Uncertainty Quantification for Surrogates

A surrogate must know when it does not know; Kronos equips every twin surrogate with calibrated uncertainty so control stays cautious where the model is weak.

Uncertainty Quantification in Engineering

Turning point predictions into honest ranges by tracking how input uncertainty and model error propagate to outputs.

Uncertainty Quantification in ML

Uncertainty quantification separates noise in the data from ignorance in the model, so predictions come with honest, actionable error bars.

Uncertainty Quantification Overview

Uncertainty quantification turns a single model prediction into a distribution, tracing how input, model, and data uncertainties shape the answer.

Units and Scale in the Model

The model uses SI units throughout, with a persistent scale reference so components never lose their true size.

Unsupervised Learning

Finding structure such as clusters or low-dimensional representations in data that has no labels.

Validating a Surrogate Model

A surrogate is only trustworthy after validation against data it never saw, on metrics that expose both accuracy and honest uncertainty.

Validation Gates Before a Model Touches the Machine

No model gains any authority without clearing a fixed sequence of gates — accuracy, calibration, safety-envelope, parity, and uncertainty — each of which can hard-block promotion.

Validation Metrics

Validation metrics quantify agreement between a model's predicted distribution and experimental data, going beyond a single error number.

Value Functions

A value function estimates expected future return, giving the agent a way to compare states and actions without simulating the full future.

Value Iteration

Value iteration solves an MDP by repeatedly applying the Bellman optimality update to every state until the value function stops changing.

Vanishing and Exploding Gradients

In deep and recurrent networks, gradients can shrink to nothing or blow up as they propagate, stalling or destabilizing training.

Vanishing Gradient

The failure of gradients to propagate through deep or recurrent networks, stalling learning in early layers.

Variational Data Assimilation

Variational assimilation fits the model to a whole window of observations at once by minimizing a mismatch cost, complementing sequential filters.

Variational Inference for BNNs

Variational inference approximates an intractable weight posterior with a simpler distribution by maximizing a lower bound on the evidence.

Variational Inference for Fast Uncertainty

Variational inference turns posterior estimation into optimization, giving the twin approximate uncertainty fast enough for near-real-time use.

Verification and Validation

Two distinct checks: that a model is solved correctly, and that it represents reality.

Verification vs Validation

Verification asks whether you built the model right; validation asks whether you built the right model. Both are required.

Vibration Isolation in Cryostats

Mechanical vibration from pulse-tube coolers must be isolated from cold stages, because motion in magnetic gradients injects noise into sensitive quantum devices.

Vision Transformer

The Vision Transformer applies the pure transformer to images by cutting them into patches and treating each patch as a token.

Vision Transformer (ViT)

The Vision Transformer treats an image as a sequence of patches and applies a standard transformer encoder, showing convolution is not required for strong image models.

VPN Technology

Virtual private networks create an encrypted tunnel across untrusted networks, extending a protected network to remote users and sites.

VR and AR for Plant Operations

Immersive and augmented displays place data in spatial context, useful for training, maintenance planning, and layout review.

WaveNet

WaveNet generates raw audio one sample at a time using a deep stack of dilated causal convolutions with gated activations, modeling waveforms directly.

Weight Initialization

How a network's weights are set before training determines whether signals and gradients stay at a usable scale through many layers.

What Is a Surrogate Model

A surrogate is a cheap approximation of an expensive simulation or experiment, trained on samples so it predicts outputs in milliseconds.

What Is Reinforcement Learning

Reinforcement learning trains an agent to choose actions that maximize cumulative reward through trial-and-error interaction with an environment.

When Surrogates Fail

Surrogates fail silently more often than loudly; knowing the failure modes and how to detect them is as important as building the model.

When to Trust a Model

Trust in a model is earned per question, per regime, and per required accuracy, never granted to the model as a whole.

Word Embeddings

Word embeddings learn vector representations of words from co-occurrence in text, placing words with similar meanings near one another.

Worked Example: A Simple Disruptivity Classifier

A minimal, honest sketch of training and evaluating a disruption predictor, emphasizing correct practice.

World Models

A world model learns to predict how an environment evolves, letting an agent train and plan inside its own simulation.

XGBoost

XGBoost is a fast, regularized gradient-boosting library that dominates tabular benchmarks through engineering and second-order optimization.

Yellow — AI-Workflow and Optimization

Yellow blocks are where learning and optimization live — training pipelines, surrogates, MPC, and the loops that make the plant intelligent.

Zero-Trust Architecture

A security model that never grants trust by network location, verifying every request explicitly regardless of where it originates.

Zero-Trust Security Architecture: Overview

The Kronos plant treats every network, device, and request as untrusted by default; access is earned per-request through identity, attestation, and policy, never by location.