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Publication series 4 — Programme & Trust

Gates, Not Vibes: How MetroVolt Adjudicates Its Own Risks

Every fusion design has open questions. Ours have names, numbers, and referees.

MetroVolt's method is gate adjudication: each governing uncertainty is assigned to a named gate with pre-registered acceptance criteria, and design credit is only booked on the side of the gate that has already closed.

The science

Four decision gates anchor the register — confinement (S18), the hot-ion two-fluid balance (S26), and the DEC exhaust chain (S51/S65) — plus seven pre-registered predictions (P1–P7) that the G1 testbed will adjudicate. Where a gate has closed against ambition, the design moved: S26/S72 demoted hot-ion operation to gated upside and made near-thermal the baseline.

The mechanism's teeth are pre-registration: criteria are frozen and deposited before results exist, so neither we nor our reviewers can move goalposts afterward. The register's DS-tier rows (design-space) are barred by rule from altering the frozen point they explore.

Why it matters

Investors call this staged risk retirement; scientists call it falsifiability; both fund it more readily than confidence. The gate ledger also makes progress legible — each closure is a discrete, verifiable value step, not another optimistic press cycle.

The numbers

Named gatesS18 · S26 · S51/S65 (+ P1–P7 at G1)
Criteriapre-registered, deposited before results
Design consequence examplehot-ion → gated upside (S26/S72)
Design-space ruleexplore only; frozen point immutable
Where value movesone gate closure at a time
Straight answersTwo governing gaps remain open by the series' own statement — required confinement and the two-fluid balance. The gates exist because the answers do not, yet.
Every figure in this paper traces to the openly deposited 81-simulation programme (S01–S81) behind the Kronos MetroVolt four-paper design series — data and code at DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21248916 (CC BY 4.0). Read the series, run the code, check us.
Kronos MetroVolt is a conceptual design study. Quantitative values are simulation-derived and carry the feasibility gates stated in the series; Tier-2 flagship-code confirmations are deposited as runnable decks pending HPC execution. This document is informational and is not an offer of securities. © 2026 Kronos Fusion Energy, Los Angeles.